Last week, the Labor Department announced that the U.S. inflation rate had climbed to 8.5 percent in March, the highest in forty years. March's rate is the seventh consecutive month the consumer price index – which measures consumers' prices for goods and services – has shot up.
Rising inflation is usually underpinned by strong consumer demand. That notwithstanding, if left unchecked, rising inflation would leave workers worse off, especially when there is no commensurate increase in wages.
The pandemic's impact on the economy still lingers with supply chain disruptions making sure demand is unmet – driving up prices. Even as one considers these factors fueling inflation, it is worth noting that the rate of wage increases trended upwards as the pandemic hit.
source: tradingeconomics.com
In New York City, one of the country's biggest economies, data provided by the Labour Department showed that the overall average increase in wages in 2020, 3.32 percent, was the highest since 2007.
Perhaps, this provides a glimpse of consumers' strong demand responsible for a strong consumer demand post-2020. While wage increases fell to 2.69 percent in 2021, it remained at a ten-year high.
Economic troubles hurt NYC workers wages
Rate of wages growth sensitive to economic performance
Covid recession
2020
Great Recession
2007-2009
3%
Early 2000s
Recession
2
1
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Source: Bureau of Labour
Economic troubles hurt NYC workers wages
Rate of wages growth sensitive to economic performance
Covid recession
2020
Great Recession
2007-2009
3%
Early 2000s
Recession
2
1
0
•
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Source: Bureau of Labour
As the rate of average wages fell in 2021, compared to 2020, New Yorkers who an automobile, have to contend with rising gas prices.
Price of gas has climbed to the levels seen before the Great recession in the late 2000s. Historically, gas price has slumped during recessions, perhaps due to lower demand. Gas prices declined at the onset of the pandemic but have since picked up. There's also the issue of the war in Ukraine affecting global oil production.
Gas prices marginally cheaper in NYC
Consumers outside the city generally tend to pay more for gas
Statewide
NYC
Great recession in the late 2000s
$400
Onset of the pandemic
300
200
100
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
Gas prices marginally cheaper in NYC
Consumers outside the city generally tend to pay more for gas
Statewide
NYC
Great recession in the late 2000s
$400
Onset of the pandemic
300
200
100
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022